Pre-game · kickoff 12:00 PM CTOct 4, 2026, 12:00 PM CT · Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY · Weather unavailable
PatriotsNew England · away
Moneyline
+276
Record
—
Elo
1547
Board rank#4of 16 NFL games this weekPublished pick: Buffalo Bills ML · 70.3%
BillsBuffalo · home
Moneyline
-300
Record
—
Elo
1563

Published win chance: New England Patriots 29.7% · Buffalo Bills 70.3%.

Team Elo ratings · results through . Separate from the published pick.

Bills host Patriots at Highmark Stadium. Market total: 48.5.

Published pick: Buffalo Bills ML · 70.3%. Win probability from the published picks file.

Quarterbacks

New England Patriots

Season passing leader unavailable · starter unconfirmed
Comp / att
— / —
Yards
—
TD / INT
— / —
Rating
—
Completion unavailablePer attempt —

Buffalo Bills

Season passing leader unavailable · starter unconfirmed
Comp / att
— / —
Yards
—
TD / INT
— / —
Rating
—
Completion unavailablePer attempt —

Season passing production does not establish the next starting quarterback.

Every price on this game

Compare the same market and line across books. Captured quotes are not guaranteed current offers.

14 books quoting
Best at capture
Under 48.5-103Pinnacle · 1.97
Over 48.5-108BetMGM · 1.93

William Hill

Under 48.5-110
Over 48.5-110

bet365

Under 48.5-110
Over 48.5-110

Pinnacle

Under 48.5-103
Over 48.5-111

Betway

Under 48.5-111
Over 48.5-111

888sport

Under 48.5-110
Over 48.5-110

FanDuel

Under 48.5-106
Over 48.5-114

BetMGM

Under 48.5-110
Over 48.5-108

DraftKings

Under 48.5-105
Over 48.5-115

Hard Rock

Under 48.5-110
Over 48.5-110

BET99

Under 48.5-110
Over 48.5-110

ESPN BET

Under 48.5-105
Over 48.5-115

YouWager

Under 48.5-110
Over 48.5-110

Melbet

Under 48.5-110
Over 48.5-110

Caesars

Under 48.5-110
Over 48.5-110

Captured Oct 1, 2026, 8:51 PM CT. Confirm current prices with the sportsbook.

Line history

Line history unavailable: fewer than two successfully captured observations for this exact game.

Injuries

New England Patriots · Report unavailable

An exact-team injury report is unavailable. No injury-free status is implied.

Team report →

Buffalo Bills · Report unavailable

An exact-team injury report is unavailable. No injury-free status is implied.

Team report →

Published model pick

Buffalo Bills ML · 70.3%

Win probability from the published picks file.

Pick updated .